2012年8月19日星期日

Five suspense of 2016 European Cup: water injection and strong group of death or disappear


European Cup 2012 had come to an end, 4 years once expectations, 31 games race, all already classify the historical dust. Beginning from today, people dearth is 4 years after 2016, in there, France is waiting for the European Cup unveiled the world, European football's feast will be in romantic Paris began it another cycle. But this time the cycle will be different: European Cup 2016 will from now 16 strong arms expansion to 24 is strong, suspense this produce
                                     
    Suspense 1: the preliminary into cut-scenes?
    At present under uefa has 53 member states or regions, and the next European Cup tickets for the finals 24 zhang, eliminate straight into the host of the French, that is to say there will be 52 countries or regions for 23 tickets, and in 2012 the European cup, but 51 home member competition and tickets. Is the so-called "content with rare for expensive", four years before and after fierce competition degree will have great difference, this also means that the next European Cup qualifier, most teams will smoothly, similar to England in 2008 as giants for the race turned the phenomenon of this fear will be extinct.52 minus 23, the most simple arithmetic, there will be 29 home uefa member could not go to France. From the current uefa international coefficient charts to see, before 24 include traditional 7 big giants, the European Cup team have 15 in the list, only one of the hosts of Poland in 24 away. But Serbia, Switzerland, Turkey, Norway and bosnia failed to qualify, such as in the qualifying campaign team, will likely France's European Cup, in addition, Hungary, Finland, Northern Ireland and even azerbaijan and so on the team may also get the chance, perhaps only SAN marino, Liechtenstein and Andorra such dye-in-the-wood three-point banker, and his fate will before and no difference. The result of this is: previous competitive European preliminaries will become go through the motions "exhibition game", the large teams across the weak team game may soar, and weak competition among the team will become more conservative, because when the European Cup chance comes once in a blue moon set it before them, who also don't want to lose even for bold offensive 1 minute. Such and such the preliminary contest, will have to see?

    Suspense 2: there is no death group?
    Uefa President michel platini once said, arms expansion to 24 teams won't affect the quality of the European Cup, but can make more European ErSanLiu team get chance to appear, so as to attract more attention, improve the whole European football level, this reform and his champions league (micro bo project) coincide with the starting point. However arms expansion really won't affect the quality of the European Cup? The European Cup group unprecedented fierce, before the wheel unexpectedly has no team advance line, the top suspense to game earn enough eyeballs, only in the United States after break related ratings.However, with more ErSanLiu team to join, the European cup finals team overall strength decline will be indisputable fact. Due to 24 strong is divided into six groups, giants family will be diluted to more of the team, not only difficult to recreate the tournament in Germany and the Netherlands, Portugal with a group of points on holy ground, even there may be a top teams with three teams with relatively weak team "imbalances group". Today people also complained that "death group" to love too much team out in advance, and four years later may and "death" to say goodbye. But on the other hand, it may also give unpopular provides broader hotbed, of course, the premise is that these "weak team," the real challenge with the strong potential and strength.

    Suspense 3: round of wonderful?
    Due to the arms expansion to 24 is strong, the European Cup finals will use this format: is divided into six groups, each group 4 teams, the team top two direct line, the result of the best 4 third will also promotion; The 16 teams for 1/8 final, then format and 16 times the same, that is to say with the much more than the knockout round. The question now is, the extra round knockout, what is more a wonderful, or more than a dull?
24 rapaciousness its 16, that is to say only eight teams in the group stage will be out, as much as two-thirds of the team will still survived in knockout. So have more fans' favourite family team unless destruct the Great Wall again make internal strife, otherwise the group basic is secured, supporters - in the 1/8 finals can see more teams appear. And much round knockout, also many a time "to live or to die" test, it seems that can boost cup suspense degree. However, because only eight teams left behind, extra this wheel knockout very likely will repeat play against each other group strength phenomenon, will undoubtedly to dampen the knockout of bolton's expectations, the game will also wonderful degree can be reduced, it won't let 1/8 final becomes boring abnormal?

    Suspense 4: conservative rekindled?
    Before the final, the European Cup only two games 120 minutes no goal, the number of header is refresh record. Although the players and the manager in an interview have said this is the "defensive first" European Cup, but there is no denying that the tournament attack still can satisfy the appetite of fans. After four years, however, the European cup fixtures elongate, increased competition, the players physical consumption and form the fluctuation will increase, from the utility and realistic Angle to think, teams will more first make sure you remain invincible, and will attack as second choice?Might as well to look at the World Cup. Arms expansion and increase after the knockout European BeiSaiZhi, and World Cup infinite approach, in fact, from 1982 to 1994 the four World Cup, finals are made by 24 teams to participate in, 1998 year again arms expansion to 32 is strong, the overall level of the World Cup and wonderful degree dropped, the long race lead to the participating team performance more conservative and mediocre, thus "pregnant" play a more negative only outlet is diagram team, this of course also makes many game such as plain boiled water, insipid. 2010 World Cup in South Africa, for example, there are seven games 0-0 blank examination paper, 1-0 victory session is its 2 times higher than. By 2016, this case is likely to reappear, conservative resurgence is no alarmism.

    Suspense 5: football money for?
    Uefa to spare no effort to European Cup arms expansion, besides altisonant "universal" reasons besides, more reason is still meet the sponsors and television broadcast in the interests of the institutions, so as to let the uefa bag more abundant. Standing in the point of view of uefa, arms expansion and understandable. Today's European Cup only 31 games, hold time but from local time on June 8, to July 1; And arms expansion and European Cup after 51-52 games, more than 20 games now, time will also be held for 29-31 days, more than a week or so before the time. More games, more long format, only to let the fans have more game can watch? Of course not! The rich man is the biggest uefa sponsors and TV institutions, increased competition schedule stretched, they are in the best interest of stakeholders and the profit.After the arms expansion, uefa is earned a big order, but this is bill club and country. The increase of competition, the growth of the schedule will affect the player's physical health, more will affect the players the club in the new season to prepare. The club cannot directly to uefa revolt, have to and national football association disputes over trifles, and this will also affect the team prepare for the work. The World Cup team again many, after all, the European team quota is limited, but the strong European Cup and all from Europe, European league and clubs will be subject to the influence of different level, various kinds of interests relation are to be straight, these work, and who is to do? The new "4 years cycle" of the first day, suspense has floating on the people's mind.

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